9. The Availability Heuristic - Deepstash
9. The Availability Heuristic

9. The Availability Heuristic

The availability heuristic is the tendency to estimate the probability of something happening based on how many examples readily come to mind.

It is essentially a mental shortcut designed to save us time when we are trying to determine risk. The problem with relying on this way of thinking is that it often leads to poor estimates and bad decisions.

72

284 reads

CURATED FROM

IDEAS CURATED BY

tomjoad

Introverted Extravert

Cognitive Biases

β€œ

The idea is part of this collection:

Top 7 books for Product Managers

Learn more about problemsolving with this collection

Conducting market research

Analyzing data to make informed decisions

Developing a product roadmap

Related collections

Similar ideas to 9. The Availability Heuristic

The Availability Heuristic

The Availability Heuristic

The availability heuristic causes us to judge probability based on how easily examples come to mind. This creates predictable distortions:

  • Vivid incidents seem more common than statistics suggest
  • Recent events appear more probable than distant ones
  • ...

Unrealistic Optimism

Unrealistic Optimism

The tendency to over-expect the probability of good things happening while negating the likelihood of anything bad happening is a common human trait.

Studies consistently show that a large majority of the population (about 80% according to most estimates) display an overl...

Insurance

Insurance involves the transfer of risk from the purchaser to the seller. In exchange for taking on the risk of some specific bad thing happening to the policyholder, the policy holder agrees to give the insurer a predefined series of payments. If the bad thing actually happens, ...

Read & Learn

20x Faster

without
deepstash

with
deepstash

with

deepstash

Personalized microlearning

β€”

100+ Learning Journeys

β€”

Access to 200,000+ ideas

β€”

Access to the mobile app

β€”

Unlimited idea saving

β€”

β€”

Unlimited history

β€”

β€”

Unlimited listening to ideas

β€”

β€”

Downloading & offline access

β€”

β€”

Supercharge your mind with one idea per day

Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.

Email

I agree to receive email updates