Judging the likelihood of an event based on how easily examples come to mind, rather than on the actual probability, leading to overestimation or underestimation of risks.
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Psychological Traps you should be aware of!!!!
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Similar ideas to Trap -2: Availability Heuristic
The availability heuristic causes us to judge probability based on how easily examples come to mind. This creates predictable distortions:
Availability bias makes easily recalled examples seem more important:
ย We tend to judge the likelihood and significance of things based on how easily they come to mind. The more โavailableโ a piece of information is to us, the more important it seems.ย
The result is that we give greater weight to information we learned recently because a news...
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